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3rd PROFOUND Spring School: Bayesian calibration, forecasting and multi-model predictions of process-based vegetation models in Rencurel / Grenoble, France, 5.-10. of May 2017
5. May 2017 18:00 - 10. May 2017 17:00
COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND Spring School: Bayesian calibration, forecasting and multi-model predictions of process-based vegetation models
This training school will enable participants to apply modern calibration and forecasting methods with their own forest models. The school will cover topics such as
– Introduction to Bayesian methods for the calibration of vegetation models
– How MCMCs work and how to set them up for process-based vegetation models
– Choosing priors for process-based vegetation models
– Interpreting Bayesian / MCMC outputs
– Forecasting best predictions and uncertainty
– Ensemble modelling and model averaging
We assume that participants know and actively use process-based vegetation models, but no prior knowledge about the above subjects is assumed. Participants will be strongly encouraged to bring and use their own models to the school for calibration. Instructions for how to prepare the models will be sent to the participants in advance.
David Cameron (CEH, UK)
Michael Dietze (Boston University, US)
Florian Hartig (University of Regensburg, GER)
Francesco Minunno (University of Helsinki, FI)
Björn Reineking (IRSTEA, FR)
Dates, location and travelling
The training school will be from 05.-10. of May. The training school will take place at the hotel “Le Marronier” in Rencurel near Grenoble, France (see details below). Plan to arrive on the evening of the 05th and leave on the 10th in the afternoon (depending on travel distance you may want to spend another night in the hotel or in Grenoble on the 10th). Transport from and to the train station in Grenoble will be organized – note that public transport is infrequent, and it may be difficult to get to the hotel on your own if you arrive outside the official times.
There is no fee for this course. Participants will receive a flat-rate reimbursement that will be sufficient to cover all local costs as well as approximately 400 Euros for travelling. The organizers may decide to increase the reimbursement for individual participants if it can be documented that travel costs are necessarily higher. NOTE: due to funding regulations, it will be difficult to get you funded if you are not from a COST member country. You can find a list of COST countries here. If you are from a non-cost country, but extremely eager to join one of these events, please get in contact with the organizers as early as possible.
How to apply
Fill in this registration form before 27.3.2016. Expect that you will be asked the following three questions:
1) What are your research interests?
2) What vegetation models do you use, and how could you use the topics of this training school in your research?
3) Would the training help you to contribute to one of the Task Groups of profound (http://cost-profound.eu/site/working-groups/) ? If so, please specify which Task Group and how.
You will be notified about the selection of participants for the training school in the beginning of April.
Please direct any questions regarding the organization to Björn Reineking.
We hope to see you in Rencurel
David Cameron, Michael Dietze, Florian Hartig, Francesco Minunno, Björn Reineking