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PROFOUND Spring School: Bayesian calibration, forecasting and multi-model predictions of process-based vegetation models in Rencurel / Grenoble, France, 12.-16. of May
12. May 2015 - 16. May 2015
COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND Spring School: Bayesian calibration, forecasting and multi-model predictions of process-based vegetation models
This training school will enable participants to apply modern calibration and forecasting methods with their own forest models. The school will cover topics such as
– Introduction to Bayesian methods for the calibration of vegetation models
– How MCMCs work and how to set them up for process-based vegetation models
– Choosing priors
– Interpreting Bayesian / MCMC outputs
– Forecasting best predictions and uncertainty
– Ensemble modelling and model averaging
We assume that participants know and actively use process-based vegetation models, but no prior knowledge about the above subjects is assumed.
David Cameron (CEH)
Michael Dietze (Boston University, US)
Florian Hartig (University of Freiburg, GER)
Francesco Minunno (University of Helsinki, FI)
Björn Reineking (IRSTEA, FR)
Dates, location and travelling
The training school will be from 12.-16. of May full time. The training school will take place at the hotel “Le Marronier” in Rencurel near Grenoble, France (see details below). Plan to arrive on the 11th and leave on the 17th. Transport from and to the train station in Grenoble will be organized.
There is no fee for this course. Participants will receive a flat-rate reimbursement that will be sufficient to cover all local costs as well as approximately 400 Euros for travelling. The organizers may decide to increase the reimbursement for individual participants if it can be documented that travel costs are necessarily higher.
How to apply
Send an email before 1.4.2015 to firstname.lastname@example.org that answers the following three questions:
1) What are your research interests?
2) What vegetation models do you use, and how could you use the topics of this training school in your research?
3) Would the training help you to contribute to one of the Task Groups of profound (http://cost-profound.eu/site/working-groups/) ? If so, please specify which Task Group and how.
Please any other questions regarding the organization to the above email address, or to Björn Reineking.
We hope to see you in Rencurel
David Cameron, Michael Dietze, Florian Hartig, Francesco Minunno, Björn Reineking